Catalyzing policy change through research to improve people’s lives in the emerging Asia Pacific by facilitating their use of hard and soft infrastructures through the use of knowledge, information and technology
Change is the only constant.
LIRNEasia marked its 15th anniversary in September 2019. LIRNEasia at 15 was very different from the little organization that started off in a single room, with the conference table under a tree and the financial files in Prashanthi’s house. Ways of working had changed for the better. But most significant was that our research and capacity building had also changed with the times.
Change is the only constant.
LIRNEasia marked its 15th anniversary in September 2019. LIRNEasia at 15 was very different from the little organization that started off in a single room, with the conference table under a tree and the financial files in Prashanthi’s house. Ways of working had changed for the better. But most significant was that our research and capacity building had also changed with the times.
In 2004, a funding agency which appeared to have resources (but actually did not) and a potential university partner wanted us to shift our priorities from infrastructure and access to the emerging flavor of the day: Internet governance. We refused. But for the last 10 years we have been gradually moving up the value chain and now cover many aspects of Internet governance. We changed because we saw the conditions on the ground had changed.
Change can be gradual, simply new leadership, the churn of researchers and the accumulations of small accommodations made while negotiating funds. Or it can be a step change. Planned. The 15th anniversary and the annual strategic review gave impetus to change. The gradual processes are being complemented by transformative actions.
We can no longer stop our work once the presentation has been made to the decision makers. We have concluded that we must now be more open to situational coordination with boundary partners who can use (or abuse) our findings. That we should add to the audiences we address. Whereas we used to focus on key decision makers and had a secondary focus on media channels that attracted their attention, we now must engage with larger audiences in multiple languages and channels.
Why? Because societies are increasingly polarized, and the weight given to evidence is declining. Challenging the messenger used to be the last resort when the message was difficult to take down. Now, the first thing is to challenge the motivation of the speaker, her pedigree, her funding and who she sat next to at a public meeting. One must survive the attack on one’s ethos, to even get the opportunity present the argument with the right balance between logos and pathos.
Research organizations draw their legitimacy from logos. That cannot change unless they anchor their legitimacy on something else. But conveying the research findings effectively to boundary partners may allow the message to get through.
The 2016 World Development Report, Digital Dividends, confirmed a key element that was in our approach from the very start: ICT interventions by themselves rarely yield the desired results; they have to be accompanied by the right kinds of “analog complements,” at the right time. We saw this very clearly in our early work on ICTs in agriculture. Improving price information was not enough. It had to go with the institution of forward contracts and futures exchanges.
Effective solutions require holistic research and multi-pronged communication. We have always been multi-disciplinary, but we now have to be even more. We must work with more partners, letting go of control.
The Big Data for Development group that has been active since 2012 exemplifies the change. Now renamed the Data Algorithms and Policy (DAP) workstream, the intention is to increasingly integrate data-science elements into all projects, not just a subset. The efficacy of the boundary partners with whom we are working to develop proposals related to COVID-19 will be test of a new way of doing research and new ways of getting research to policy.
Also showing the way is phase two of the work on assistive technologies for persons with disabilities (PWDs) in India. Here, research conducted on the barriers to independent living by PWDs form the basis of a pre-accelerator that will bring together developers and potential funders to hopefully establish an accelerator lab to be hosted by Vihara Innovation Network, a design and innovation focused partner. While LIRNEasia will continue to be engaged, design and operation of an accelerator lab not an area where it has any significant competencies relative to its partner. But it is how we’ll actually get solutions to the PWDs.
Changes being implemented gradually at LIRNEasia include the induction of two new members to the Board of Directors. Ms Thusitha Perera is Executive Director, Camso Global Business Services Center Sri Lanka, after an international career. The other new director Ms Jeeva Perumalpillai-Essex retired in 2015 as Regional Manager at the International Finance Corporation, a unit of the World Bank Group that she served in various capacities since 1991. Mr Luxman Siriwardene, one of the founder directors who made an invaluable contribution to the establishment of LIRNEasia, retired.
Advisory boards have been formed for the disability and assistive technology projects being implemented in India and Sri Lanka, and for the Data Algorithms and Policy workstream. More intensive engagement with advisory boards is planned at the level of projects.
These gradual changes, hopefully supplemented by qualitative shifts, will transform LIRNEasia, again. And when that is done, we’ll do it all over again.
Rohan Samarajiva
BACKThis financial year ends and this message is being written as most of the world is going into COVID-19 shut down. Luckily, our staff, research and policy fellows who live in different countries have always worked and interacted remotely – using a range of communication tools to interact as if we were all present in the office at the same time. The early signs are that we are able to continue much of our routine research by working remotely, from our homes and as we did before. But what of our field research?
This financial year ends and this message is being written as most of the world is going into COVID-19 shut down. Luckily, our staff, research and policy fellows who live in different countries have always worked and interacted remotely – using a range of communication tools to interact as if we were all present in the office at the same time. The early signs are that we are able to continue much of our routine research by working remotely, from our homes and as we did before. But what of our field research? LIRNEasia has always insisted that seeing how people live their lives and interact (or can’t interact) with technology in a particular context is key to finding polices that work for them. Otherwise we wouldn’t have worried about nationally representative surveys of the poor all the way back in 2005 that proved over 90% of the poor in Asia had made and received phone calls, even though multilateral policy wonks were saying the poor don’t make calls. Or we wouldn’t have seen that financially conscious users in the Philippines were willing to change their SIM Cards up to six times a day in order to get the benefits of cheaper on-net calling rates. This is the only way we have been able to recommend policy solutions that are useful for the context people in emerging Asia live, instead of taking “cut paste” recommendations from more advanced economies. In the coming few months, we have to grapple with how to study the people we care about the most: persons with disabilities, women, gender-non binary persons, ethnic and religious minorities, those at the base of the socio-economic pyramid. Because they are also often digitally disconnected, and because digital research methods pose their own challenges, we are grappling with how to conduct field research. Indications are that international travel could also grinding a halt, and it will challenge how we will interact with policy makers, regulators and other stakeholders in the region. This is the time to rely on and truly test the limits of digital connectivity. And to build on existing and long term partnerships that don’t rely on face to face interactions.
We had already started thinking of partnerships differently. With our earliest recommendations, our work of catalyzing policy change ended after we disseminate our results to those who can act on it. But most recommendations we make need to be developed further before they can be implemented. So over time, we moved into not just finding the problems through research and presenting policy solutions, but also prototyping possible solutions. This has brought new partners, such as those who use design thinking, into our orbit. It has also increased the measurable impact we can have – as we saw with the creation of concrete assistive technology solutions for disabled persons in Nepal that were implemented by teams we worked with, and what is happening with the accelerator lab we are running for innovators in India. This year we decided to further integrate parterships into our work – not at the end, but bringing in implementation partners early, at project design and conceptualization stage, and working with them more closely throughout the research life cycle.
This year LIRNEasia turned 15. We celebrated with a focus on Sri Lanka, with a public panel that questioned and discussed the policy priorities and policy instruments the country should be developing. It was followed by a small gathering of our staff, long term partners and former colleagues. We always say there is no such thing as a former colleague – one leaves LIRNEasia for other jobs or to pursue education, but one usually comes back or ends up collaborating with us in some way). This was certainly true in the faces at our 15th anniversary, and certainly true of the additions and departures from the LIRNEasia team. Sriganesh Lokanathan who was instrumental in setting up and leading the Data Analytics Policy thematic research at LIRNEasia, left to start work at the UN Pulse Lab, Jakarta as a Data Scientist. This was his second departure from LIRNEasia (previously to pursue work in the USA, followed by policy school in Singapore). Tahani Iqbal was also on her second iteration at LIRNEasia, and left to start her job at Facebook. Shazna Zuhyle left to take care of a family business venture, but is back part time, helping manage the Data Alorithms Policy (DAP) team. Thavisha managed many projects at LIRNEasia and left to take care of family, while Samali joined her (new) husband in Australia. Firaz and Yashothra went to pursue other employment, while Lasantha left to persue his PhD. The revolving door continued when Ramathi, who had worked with us as in intern while she was still in school returned to Sri Lanka upon completing her Masters, and joined the DAP team. Gayashi is the latest team member to join us just before we had to shut down the office due to COVID-19. Researchers weren’t the only people to join the LIRNEasia family – Tharaka and his wife welcomed their son Tharul, and we are looking forward to welcoming him to the office.
Helani Galpaya
BACKWe want to see life improve for people in the emerging Asia Pacific.
We believe that one pathway is through better access to and use of knowledge, information and technology.
Our mandate is to help facilitate the use of hard and soft infrastructures in the region through research that catalyzes policy change.
LIRNEasia’s principal strength is its integrity. And integrity cannot be maintained without people who value it. The LIRNEasia family comes from different backgrounds and different arenas of practice and are connected by a few common tendencies.
We work in teams – flexibly, effectively – helping each person reach their full capacity, no matter where they come from, no matter their circumstances.
Rohan likes to remind us that he was surprised LIRNEasia lasted five years. In September 2019, we celebrated 15. Fifteen. What was five people jostling (literally) for space in a tiny room at the Sri Lanka Institute of Development Administration, is now a 50-person team of researchers and subject experts in the digital arena, working on digital policy or infrastructure policy in the emerging Asia Pacific. We’ve not just impacted telecom policy in developing Asia, but become an integral part of global conversations on all things data and digital – infrastructure, policy, rights, inclusion, privacy.
We decided to celebrate. Sri Lanka, where we are based, was in the middle of proposing a number of laws and policies related to digital activity at the time, so we decided to locate our celebration here. The main event was a panel discussion on “Digital Policies for Sri Lanka: Doing better than cut and paste”.
Helani moderated the conversation between independent policy experts, representatives from government, civil society and the private sector, extracting views on what is needed to aid digital development in Sri Lanka, what has been done right, and what should be done and what should be avoided based on the learnings and experiences of other jurisdictions that have addressed these digital issues already. Panelists also debated the merits and demerits of adopting the National Digital Policy, the Strategic Roadmap on Internet of Things (IoT), and legislation related to cyber security and data protection in their current form.
The event coincided with the launch of our Annual Report for 2018-2019, and also a new logo for the organization. Afterwards, we partied. As many of LIRNEasia’s extended family as could attend spent an evening wining and dining, walking down memory lane and reminiscing the good old days.
A key reason we’ve managed to outlive our founder’s expectation is our ability to keep evolving. Through we have grown and formalized some of our processes, we remain a relatively small and versatile organization. We like this. The plan is to forge ahead into new territory, tackling new questions using new methods, with new partners, constantly. Not abandoning our core networks and competencies but building on them.
We look forward, to the next fifteen years.
At 15 years, we are almost reaching adulthood. We felt it was time to refresh our logo. After much debate, we came up with something new, but also rooted in things old. The new logo spells out L-I-R-N-E-a-s-i-a in the dots and dashes of Morse code - one of the oldest yet still most widely used forms of code. After all, our work is all about codifying information and knowledge. The stylised dots and dashes are arranged in the shape of a map of the South and South East Asian countries we work in. Red (in our previous logo) is now more prominent, as an auspicious color across the region we work in.
There is a tide in the affairs of men.
Which, taken at the flood, leads on to fortune;
Omitted, all the voyage of their life
Is bound in shallows and in miseries.
On such a full sea are we now afloat.
– Julius Ceasar, ACT III Scene IV
In 2019, LIRNEasia was commissioned by the UNDP Regional Innovation Center to perform a grounded work of speculation as to what the next decade might look like, especially for South and South East Asia. The resulting report - the Ocean of Change - examines policy documents and research to project a complex, intertwined tale of both the unavoidable and the weak signals - from megaslums, economic shifts, and AI to pandemics, resource wars and green cities.
Throughout history, there have been sequences of events that are absolutely inevitable, beyond the control of any emperor or tyrant. If we, like Shakespeare, insist on seeing them as tides, one could say that the task of historians is to study little wavelets from the past and try to piece together the biggest tides that shaped the day; and what we manage to cobble together we call history, as we know and study it.
These tides are not things relegated to retroactive wisdom and stage tragedy. The Office of Strategic Services (OSS) – the forerunner of today’s CIA – and John Naisbitt – formerly of IBM and Eastman-Kodak, later heavily involved with the US administration in Washington – famously took to the analysis of content in order to influence both war and public policy. Naisbitt, in particular, brought together the word ‘megas’ (Greek: great) with Old English trendan, turning it into a word that captures these long-term shifts in our geopolitical, macroeconomic and environmental reality – a suitable word for describing future-facing tides of Shakespearean import. Today, the United States National Intelligence Council expends enormous effort on imputing the shape of these megatrends ahead; likewise, Europe has its own bodies, and Australia has CSIRO.
The problem is that most approach this question from the perspective of some first-world country or the other, and usually miss out on perspectives from the Asia-Pacific region that we play in. Which is, in our opinion, a mistake: not only does the APAC region host some 4 billion people, but from the story of China’s metamorphosis to become an economic powerhouse, to the evolution of Singapore as a lab, the APAC abounds with experiments that have led to significant social change. The development challenges that we face, ranging from inequality to climate change and global warming – are complex and devastating. The response from states ranges from laconic to full-on tactical combat with the beast at hand. There is a need for a much more nuanced conversation: for futurism that merges existing projections with deeper insights on the state (and nonstate actors) driving strategic innovation on our side of the pond; for scanning that sheds some light on under-the-radar players doing things that might lead to very different versions of our future.
What follows, then, is the result of our first attempt at mapping the tides of this full sea. As a think tank engaged in public policy, we have a particular narrative framing. Some element of rationalization has been performed; certain types of information privileged over others; therefore, we borrow from Alford Korzybski and advise caution: A map is not the territory it represents, but, if correct, it has a similar structure to the territory, which accounts for its usefulness.
This is, therefore, a map of the future of the APAC region. We hope that it may be useful.
Of course, this kind of top-heavy analysis – especially with established gaps in information – comes with caveats. Of trade movements between the BIMSTEC countries, for example, we have little to say. Internal migration and rapid urbanization affect every country here, but we must focus on India and China, as the elephants in the room. Of indigenous movements, there is almost no mention, save for when something becomes large enough to be reflected in government policy.
And while hindsight is always 20/20, no act of foresight can be ever said to be completely accurate. As Thomasina, the child prodigy in Arcadia, notes: if you could stop every atom in its position and direction and if your mind could comprehend all the actions thus suspended, then if you were really, really good at algebra you could write the formula for all the future. . . although nobody can be so clever as to do it. We have neither the skill to stop the universe nor the wisdom to compute such transcendent math.
But we hope that we may see the tide before it engulfs us. We believe that the continued exercise of such will lead not only to better futurism, but better lessons for policy change and governance models. After all, as the Mahabharata says:
Change is the law of the world.
In a moment you become the owner of millions,
In the other you become penniless.
This chapter is based on writing from a team of authors LIRNEasia, as part of work commissioned by the UNDP Regional Innovation Center (RIC) as an exploratory and intellectual analysis. The views and opinions published in this work are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect or represent the official position or policy of the RIC, United Nations Development Programme or any United Nations agency or UN Member States.
We would like to acknowledge, with gratitude, input from Samuel Peralta, Vandana Singh, Karl Vendell Satinitigan, Peggy Liu, David Galipeau, Tina Jabeen, Taimur Khilji, David Li, Peter Brimble, Anshul Sonak, Saif Kamal, Michell Zappa, Mike Rios, Roshan Paul, and Cecille Soria.
AfterAccess is currently the most comprehensive dataset on access to and use of mobile phones and the internet in the Global South.In some countries, we collected data on a nationally representative sample of small and medium enterprises (SMEs) focusing on how they use ICTs, and data on a nationally representative sample of persons with disabilities and how they use assistive technologies.
This year we continued the dissemination of findings of these two components, particularly in Sri Lanka and Nepal.. We also revisited relevant data points to understand what digital approaches to the new challenges thrown up by the COVID-19 pandemic mean for the digitally excluded of the Global South. (e.g., to contactless payments, contact tracing, remote education, etc.). The AfterAccess data has become more relevant now than ever.
READ MORE BACKThe Data, Algorithms and Policy (DAP) team rely on a fusion of computer science, quantitative methods and qualitative ground truth research to generate highly scalable and representative intelligence. We examine data from millions of people to help inform government policy, researching the past, examining the present and helping prepare for the future. The team uses multiple sources of data – to predict socioeconomics, human communities, bias and marginalization, the spread of disease, and connectivity between nations. This year we delved particularly into the phenomena of natural language processing, speech and hate speech, and worked on creating analyzable language corpora in the Sinhala language. We also examined technical methods to enable the use of data while preserving privacy, and engaged with emerging ethical issues in the use of algorithms.
READ MORE BACKLIRNEasia’s work on disabilities and assistive technologies has grown over the years. We have concluded our research in Myanmar and Nepal successfully by working with Disabled Persons Organisations and other local partners. With the knowledge and expertise gained through those projects, we have now extended our work to India and Sri Lanka.
Our work in Sri Lanka and India begins with understanding challenges faced by persons with disabilities (PWDs), proposing ways of improving independent living by PWDs. We are also going a step further from where we ended our work in Myanmar and Nepal by not only developing prototypes of ICT enabled assistive technologies but also working on scaling up and productizing solutions by connecting innovators with social impact investors.
READ MORE BACKFor several years, we have been exploring how increased digitization creates opportunities and challenges for workers in the global south. This year, we continue this work with a particular focus on the gender dimensions of both cloud-based as well as location specific digitally-mediated gig work in India and Sri Lanka. We will be exploring a series of questions including how this type of work empowers women, why some types of work and platforms attract more women than others and how the COVID-19 pandemic impacted women and gig work. We have also just started studying what skills are in demand in the labor market in Sri Lanka through the analysis of online job ads.
READ MORE BACKOur gender work this year has been expanded through two key elements. Firstly through an entirely new project which will examine different types of digital platforms in India and Sri Lanka and examining whether women are benefiting from them. This project is a collaboration between LIRNEasia, the Centre for Policy Research (India), the World Resources Institute (India) and the Indian Institute of Human Settlements. Secondly, through the Gender Action Learning (GAL) initiative which is helping us look at our research (not only on gender-related topics), and our approaches to research, through a feminist lens. This will not be limited to research activities, but we will also explore if and how our ongoing research, our work processes, or even our management methodologies can improve via this lens.
READ MORE BACKFrom our inception, our research has focused on how to get meaningful digital connectivity to people in emerging Asia. With more and more people getting online, we are increasingly faced with the challenge of ensuring how everyone, not just those who are the most privileged or the loudest, are able to enjoy and exercise their human rights when online.
This year, we continued this research by exploring how internet users in Sri Lanka exercised their right to express their opinions, protected their privacy and ensured their safety in the online off-line continuum. Because it’s the most marginalized that have a harder time exercising their rights in digital and meet-space, this qualitative study specifically included a significant representation from women as well as religious, ethnic and sexual minorities.
READ MORE BACKThe main thrust of work during this period was in Sri Lanka, in the area of cyber policy. At the end of 2018, an energetic young Minister took over the Digital Infrastructures and Information Technology portfolio in the Sri Lankan Cabinet. The Year 2019 was a race with time. He got a lot done, but ran out of time before the laws were placed on the Parliamentary Order Paper and the policy was approved by Cabinet.
LIRNEasia drafted the National Digital Policy under the direction of then ICT Agency Chair Rohan Samarajiva. Based on the research done for the discussion paper on Healthcare Data Protection for the ICT Agency, LIRNEasia also provided substantive comments on the draft of the Data Protection Bill and the draft Cyber Security Bill published as part of the Ministry’s consultative process.
READ MORE BACKThe April 2019 Easter Sunday Attacks in Sri Lanka sparked communal violence in the country, again, and the government engaged in another social media block. Our physical presence there meant that multiple media reached out to us, to understand if and how social media was contributing to the violence, and whether blocking these platforms was an effective form of management. Later in the year, Bangladesh cut mobile internet access in Rohingya camps. So we found that Abu, Rohan and Yudhanjaya were quoted repeatedly, in local and international media outlets including Foreign Policy, The Globe Post, The Straits Times and WIRED magazine.
READ MORE BACKWe went back this year to a very important and memorable chapter in LIRNEasia’s life, to work on another large project: a book on Myanmar.We didn’t actively do research in the country, but felt the importance of documenting over six years of research already done. Our work alone is an incomplete picture, and so we also invited others who were truly immersed in the digital developments of the country to contribute. These included David Madden (founder of the Yangon-based innovation hub Phandeeyar), Andrea Calderaro from the Center for Internet and Global Politics at Cardiff University and Rajiv Aricat from Nanyang Technological University. The publication will be a synthesis of all the work we’ve done in Myanmar, from old-school telecom regulation policy influence, to platform work, to online rights, hate speech and disability. LIRNEasia was one of the first civil society organizations to study and help guide the liberalization process of the telecoms sector in the country. Outside of research reports and other dissemination output of specific research project, we never really spent the time to document the process. We believe the work we have done in the country is of immense value, and so, a book.
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